Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.449953 0.490375 0.534258 0.585694 0.644668 0.710573 0.790364
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.369998 0.427213 0.494959 0.582400 0.694276 0.835537 1.032411
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.320358 0.386282 0.469735 0.586218 0.750023 0.981530 1.353165
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.281106 0.349878 0.441394 0.577158 0.783421 1.104939 1.694569
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.259943 0.332873 0.434444 0.594050 0.855755 1.307632 2.271288
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.234860 0.306669 0.409890 0.578899 0.872164 1.420650 2.749569
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.211298 0.279754 0.380419 0.550295 0.857930 1.470566 3.122857
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.192211 0.257409 0.355110 0.524243 0.842042 1.511382 3.509418
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.183850 0.250131 0.352099 0.535118 0.897957 1.729709 4.659169
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.180263 0.249630 0.359575 0.565352 1.000377 2.110178 7.047780
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.172005 0.241020 0.352620 0.567589 1.043181 2.357139 9.472849
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.162155 0.229084 0.338836 0.554591 1.047880 2.494919 11.723859
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.152744 0.217595 0.325476 0.542079 1.054826 2.660921 15.147775
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.144907 0.208286 0.315362 0.535371 1.076776 2.906737 21.378120
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.138981 0.201756 0.309655 0.537208 1.122844 3.293325 35.224402
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.132222 0.193348 0.299761 0.528612 1.138180 3.570777 55.445255
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.129011 0.190744 0.300322 0.543204 1.226301 4.311017 159.209281
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.122738 0.182418 0.289335 0.529791 1.224441 4.569239 330.714318
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.115608 0.172219 0.274054 0.504574 1.178621 4.522148 493.070356
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.109237 0.163066 0.260258 0.481566 1.135856 4.472018 780.764533
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.106922 0.160968 0.260039 0.491165 1.206773 5.321145 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.106464 0.162141 0.266343 0.517810 1.349929 7.125238 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.103578 0.158730 0.263119 0.519777 1.401684 8.275858 NaN